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98 mn Indians may have diabetes by 2030: Lancet study

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Nearly 98 million people in India may have type 2 diabetes by 2030, according to a study unveiled recently which found that the number of adults with the disease worldwide is expected rise by over a fifth.

diabetesThe study, published in The Lancet Diabetes & Endocrinology journal, found that the amount of insulin needed to effectively treat type two diabetes will rise by more than 20 per cent worldwide over the next 12 years.

Without major improvements in access, insulin will be beyond the reach of around half of the 79 million adults with type two diabetes who will need it in 2030, said researchers from Stanford University in the US.

The findings are of particular concern for the African, Asian, and Oceania regions which the study predicts will have the largest unmet insulin need in 2030 if access remains at current levels.

Results showed that worldwide, the number of adults with type 2 diabetes is expected rise by more than a fifth from 406 million in 2018 to 511 million in 2030.

Over half of them will be living in just three countries — China (130 million), India (98 million), and the US (32 million), researchers said.

“These estimates suggest that current levels of insulin access are highly inadequate compared to projected need, particularly in Africa and Asia, and more efforts should be devoted to overcoming this looming health challenge,” said Sanjay Basu from Stanford University, who led the research.

“Despite the UN’s commitment to treat non-communicable diseases and ensure universal access to drugs for diabetes, across much of the world insulin is scarce and unnecessarily difficult for patients to access,” said Basu.

“The number of adults with type 2 diabetes is expected to rise over the next 12 years due to ageing, urbanisation, and associated changes in diet and physical activity.

“Unless governments begin initiatives to make insulin available and affordable, then its use is always going to be far from optimal,” he said.

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